Digital Snapshot

by Sophia Brook

Ensuring a stable and productive relationship?

#11/23
09 November 2023

Before the election, we said to the Australian people we would work to stabilise the relationship with China without compromising our sovereign interests. And that’s what we’ve done.

– Foreign Minister Penny Wong

After his visit to the USA at the end of October, which, according to White House Indo-Pacific Co-ordinator Kurt Campbell, has “given Australia and the United States a boost for dealing with China”, PM Anthony Albanese travelled to the PRC this week. The visit had been much anticipated, being the first visit of an Australian PM to China since 2016, and, for added weight, it was timed to coincide with the 50th anniversary of PM Gough Whitlam’s historic visit to the country in 1973. The Australian government had tried to lower expectations on the Chinese side prior to the visit as a result, with Albanese stating that there would be ‘no room for non-government engagements’ and that ’just opening up that engagement’ would be seen as an achievement.

In what media outlets referred to as an ‘18-month stabilisation campaign’, the Australian government carefully laid the groundwork to frame the visit in the correct light. An endeavour that appears to have been reciprocated on the Chinese side, as both governments made noticeable concessions prior to the actual event. Most notable among these were China’s decision to release Australian journalist Cheng Lei, who had been detained for three years, and its lifting of trade bans on a series of Australian products. Very timely, the All-China Journalists Association (ACJA) in Beijing, in cooperation with the Melbourne-based Asia Pacific Journalism Centre, also arranged a ‘closely guided eight-day tour’ for four Australian journalists to China, three weeks before Albanese was due to visit. Meanwhile, on the Australian side, the government announced in October that Chinese company Landbridge would be allowed to keep its lease of the Port of Darwin – something Anthony Albanese had previously criticised as a ‘grave error of judgment’. This perceived positive re-framing led advocacy groups to urge the PM not to forget about persisting human rights violations for the sake of improving bilateral relations. In answer to these concerns, Albanese stated that ‘We disagree on the basis of our political systems, on issues like human rights, on issues such as access to the South China Sea, the East China Sea, the Taiwan Straits, we think that the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, allowing for that free flow of trade through those waterways are very important for Australia. […] and we’ll put those positions strongly, clearly and directly to China.’ In this context it is important to note that on the Australian side, recent developments have been referred to as a ‘stabilisation’ of the relationship not as a ‘reset’.

Both China and Australia regarded the visit as an opportunity to raise issues of concern to their respective national interests. Australia was hoping to make progress in its efforts to secure the release of detained Australian writer Yang Hengjun, who has been imprisoned in China since 2019, and eliminate the last remaining trade bans, including on wine, lobster and blacklisted abattoir exports. China was hoping for Australia’s support of its application to join the CPTPP and an easing of restrictions on Chinese investment in the Australian resources and renewable energy sectors.

The visit was divided into two parts, with a predominantly economics focused stop at the China International Import Expo in Shanghai and political meetings with President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Qiang in Beijing. Despite the thematic split between economy and politics, the Australian government firmly stated that Australia would not return to treating security and economic issues separately in the context of bilateral relations.

In his first speech after his arrival in Shanghai, Albanese repeatedly emphasised that both nations had ‘prospered thanks to the certainty and stability that is made possible by rules-based trade’. This has been interpreted as an implicit rebuke of China’s rather blunt tactics in relation to its recent trade stoush with Australia. Albanese further stressed that it was a government’s role to create the ‘right conditions for business’ and to eliminate ‘unnecessary barriers to trade and investment by fostering a level playing field and by working towards inclusive economic growth’. On the Chinese side, the Australian government was praised for its commitment to more effective relations with China, but Albanese was also warned ‘not be kidnapped by the United States in his relations with Beijing’.

It was clear from official comments that China would like to secure Australia’s support for its application to join the CPTPP. When asked if his government was considering providing this support, Albanese gave an evasive answer, merely stating that ‘any country must demonstrate that it can meet the high standards of the agreement’ and that all applications to join the CPTPP would be ‘dealt with in an appropriate way’. As experts expected, this ‘failure to push back more forcefully’ on China’s ambitions to join the partnership sparked concerns in Japan, which reiterated that it would not tolerate China joining the pact.

Summing up his meeting with President Xi Jinping in Beijing on Monday, Albanese stated that it was ‘one of goodwill’, in which they discussed issues pertaining to trade and ‘the importance of stability in the region’. Albanese also mentioned that he ‘raised consular and human rights issues’ but did not go into detail on what exactly had been discussed. President Xi lauded the talks as a ‘new starting point for Sino-Australian relations’, but as he is in desperate need of positive narratives for his own national approval rating, he was expected to apply ‘smile diplomacy’ throughout the visit.

In a ‘Statement of Joint Outcomes’, the leaders confirmed their support for the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, agreeing that ‘we should not be defined by our differences, recognise that they are there, but also recognise the mutual benefit that we have’ and that ‘the wise navigation of differences is an important element of strengthening our relationship’. In keeping with this theme, they announced the resumption of annual talks between leaders, ministers and officials. They also agreed to introduce ‘three to five year multi-entry visas for visitors and business people on a reciprocal basis’.

Although Albanese’s visit on the whole was more of a symbolic gesture rather than an occasion for policy-making – some referring to it as an ‘elaborate choreography of rapprochement’ – for now, it appears to have been effective in its intention of paving the way for a kind of working stability. However, as issues such as China’s poor human rights record, its territorial claims in Taiwan and in the South China Sea and its efforts to increase its influence in the Pacific region remain unchanged, any stability might be temporary.

Post-Visit:

Pre-Visit: